Empirical Analysis on Sustainability of Public Debt in Indian States

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ResearchID® 14K66

Abstract

This article utilizes the Bohn framework for panel data and penalized spline technique for testing public debt sustainability in 20 major Indian states during 2007-08 to 2018-19. The study shows that the primary surplus reacts positively to public debt only in 4states, indicating debt sustainability in these states. Interestingly, the reaction coefficients are time-varying in 10 states, of which three are sustainable. Further, we descriptively verified whether the sustainable debt is welfare-enhancing as well during the study period. We found that debt is neither sustainable no welfare-enhancing in the case of 12 states, so they need to take corrective actions.

Conflict of Interest

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

Ethical Approval

Not applicable

Data Availability

The datasets used in this study are openly available at [repository link] and the source code is available on GitHub at [GitHub link].

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  • Classification

    FOR CODE: 149999

  • Version of record

    v1.0

  • Issue date

    NA

  • Language

    English

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Research Article
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LJRHSS Volume 21 LJRHSS Volume 21 Issue 4, Pg. 31-46