Empirical Analysis on Sustainability of Public Debt in Indian States

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Research ID 14K66

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Abstract

This article utilizes the Bohn framework for panel data and penalized spline technique for testing public debt sustainability in 20 major Indian states during 2007-08 to 2018-19. The study shows that the primary surplus reacts positively to public debt only in 4states, indicating debt sustainability in these states. Interestingly, the reaction coefficients are time-varying in 10 states, of which three are sustainable. Further, we descriptively verified whether the sustainable debt is welfare-enhancing as well during the study period. We found that debt is neither sustainable no welfare-enhancing in the case of 12 states, so they need to take corrective actions.

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Conflict of Interest

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

Ethical Approval

Not applicable

Data Availability

The datasets used in this study are openly available at [repository link] and the source code is available on GitHub at [GitHub link].

Funding

This work did not receive any external funding.

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  • Classification

    FOR CODE: 149999

  • Version of record

    v1.0

  • Issue date

    29 October 2021

  • Language

    en

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Research Article
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LJRHSS Volume 21 LJRHSS Volume 21 Issue 4, Pg. 31-46
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